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Can we extend the multiplication rule beyond 2 events?
Yes! For any number of independent events, we just keep multiplying. If A, B, and C are all independent:
Why does this work?
Each roll is independent of all previous rolls. The die has no memory. Even if you've rolled 10 sixes in a row (incredibly rare!), the next roll still has a 1/6 chance of being a six.
This is called the "Gambler's Fallacy" to believe otherwise!
The general formula:
Roll 1
Roll 2
Roll 3
Result:
| Number of Rolls | Formula | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| 4 | ||
| n |
Independence means past outcomes do not influence future ones. Even after rolling five 6s in a row, the probability of the next roll being a 6 is still 1/6. The dice have no memory!