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What does "Red OR Blue" mean?
We want the probability of drawing a marble that is red OR blue. The marble could be red, or it could be blue — either one satisfies our condition.
Can a marble be BOTH red AND blue?
No! Each marble is exactly one color. A marble cannot be red and blue at the same time. This means red and blue are mutually exclusive events.
Why does this simplify things?
Since P(Red AND Blue) = 0, the union formula simplifies:
P(Red OR Blue) = P(Red) + P(Blue) - 0 = P(Red) + P(Blue)
A bag has 3 red, 4 blue, and 3 green marbles (10 total). Draw one marble. What is P(Red OR Blue)?
The Setup:
Find P(Red)
3 red marbles out of 10 total:
Find P(Blue)
4 blue marbles out of 10 total:
Add them (mutually exclusive, no subtraction needed)
Result:
✓ Verification: 7 marbles (3 red + 4 blue) out of 10 = 70% ✓
When drawing from colored marbles, different colors are ALWAYS mutually exclusive. A marble has exactly one color. So for "Color A OR Color B" problems, just add the probabilities!